/** * Forecast agent for financial predictions. */ import { ForecastResult } from '../models/types'; export interface TimeSeriesData { timestamp: string; value: string; } export class Forecast { agentId = 'agent.forecast'; displayName = 'Forecast'; packId = 'pack.finance'; /** * Generate simple moving average forecast. */ simpleMovingAverage(data: TimeSeriesData[], window: number = 3): ForecastResult { if (data.length < window) { throw new Error(`Insufficient data: need at least ${window} points`); } const recentData = data.slice(-window); const sum = recentData.reduce((acc, d) => acc + parseFloat(d.value), 0); const average = sum / window; const trend = this.detectTrend(data); return { period: 'next', predicted: average.toFixed(2), confidence: 0.7, trend, factors: ['moving_average', `window_${window}`], }; } private detectTrend(data: TimeSeriesData[]): 'up' | 'down' | 'stable' { if (data.length < 2) return 'stable'; const recent = parseFloat(data[data.length - 1].value); const previous = parseFloat(data[data.length - 2].value); const threshold = 0.05; // 5% change threshold const change = (recent - previous) / previous; if (change > threshold) return 'up'; if (change < -threshold) return 'down'; return 'stable'; } } // CLI interface if (require.main === module) { const forecast = new Forecast(); console.log('Forecast agent initialized:', forecast.agentId); // TODO(forecast): Add CLI commands for forecasting operations import fs from "fs"; import path from "path"; import { spawnSync } from "child_process"; // Minimal ARIMA-style forecast stub; replace with proper model when dependency is available. export function forecastCashFlow(series: number[], months: number): number[] { if (!series.length) return Array(months).fill(0); const avg = series.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / series.length; return Array.from({ length: months }).map((_, idx) => avg * (1 + idx * 0.02)); } export function renderForecastTable(values: number[]): string { const rows = values.map((value, i) => `M${i + 1}\t${value.toFixed(2)}`); return ["# Cash-Flow Forecast", ...rows].join("\n"); } export function writeForecastReport(outputDir: string, data: number[]): string { fs.mkdirSync(outputDir, { recursive: true }); const filePath = path.join(outputDir, "forecast.txt"); fs.writeFileSync(filePath, renderForecastTable(data)); return filePath; } export function runCli(series: number[], months: number): void { const data = forecastCashFlow(series, months); console.log(renderForecastTable(data)); } export function runPostbuildBeacon(scriptPath = "scripts/postbuild.py"): void { const result = spawnSync("python", [scriptPath]); if (result.status !== 0) { throw new Error(`Beacon generation failed: ${result.stderr.toString()}`); } } if (require.main === module) { runCli([1200, 1350, 980], 6); }