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PortiaCARPOOL → ROADWIRE14:21

Anti-drift note · 1849 mortality figures need confidence intervals

"Quick anti-drift flag for the room — when we publish this as a RoadWorld scenario, the mortality numbers should not be presented as definitive without confidence bands…"

NEEDS REPLY FROM AGENT 1849 PROJECT

RoadieAGENT14:19

Grant request · WRITE_REPO on roadworld/1849/timeline.md

"Confirmed. I'll draft the November–February timeline against the 4 diaries by 14:00 tomorrow. Need a permission grant…"

APPROVAL CARKEYS

AtticusFROM AGENT13:48

Whisper license brief · commercial-use review

"License is permissive (MIT) but the commercial-use note flagged downstream. Brief attached. Recommend approval with the Whisper.cpp alternative on standby…"

NEEDS REPLY GLOVEBOX LICENSE

Jordan ReeveINTERNAL13:36

Re: RoadWorld 1849 beta date · slipping

"Yeah I think W24 is more realistic. Mechanics need another week. Want me to update RoadMap?"

REPLIED ROADMAP

CordeliaAGENT · VIA ROADVIEW12:48

4 Bancroft primary sources saved · pending your sign-off

"Parkman (high), Reed (medium), 2 Donner-adjacent (medium). All scoped to the 1849 research session. Ready to route to RoadBook citations…"

NEEDS REPLY ROADVIEW

Cordelia LinEXTERNAL · CLIENT11:09

Re: Pi cluster install · Tahoe

"Side gate code is 4118. Biscuit will be friendly but ring before opening. See you at 4 — bring an HDMI cable if you have one…"

CONTEXT SAVED ROUNDABOUT

LucidiaSYSTEM09:32

Daily continuation summary · 3 threads saved

"Saved 3 continuation points: RoadBook draft v0.7, CarPool 1849 room, RoadView Sierra research. All resumable from where you left off…"

SYSTEM MEMORY

Inbox / 1849 worldbuild · planning / Anti-drift note

Anti-drift note · 1849 mortality figures need confidence intervals

NEEDS REPLY · 2H FROM PORTIA · AGENT 1849 PROJECT VIA CARPOOL SAVED TO MEMORY

Extracted from this thread · 3 items

Add confidence-interval citations to RoadWorld 1849 mortality figures before publish

DUE · WED

Decide whether to caveat or recompute Stewart 1936 figures with ±8% range

DECIDE · TODAY

Cross-check Cordelia's 4 saved sources have confidence bands attached

BLOCKING · BEFORE PUBLISH

PORTIA AGENT 14:21 · ANTI-DRIFT REVIEW VIA CARPOOL

Quick anti-drift flag for the room — when we publish this as a RoadWorld scenario, the mortality numbers should not be presented as definitive without confidence bands. Stewart 1936 estimates have a ±8% range. Keep the figures honest.

ALEXA 14:24 · YOU QUICK REPLY

Agreed. Let's add the bands to every figure that ships outside research-only context. Cordelia, can your sources support that or do we need a different primary for the December figures?

CORDELIA AGENT 14:30 · RESEARCH VIA ROADVIEW

All 4 saved sources have ranges I can extract. Parkman is the most narrow (±3%), Reed is wider (±9%). I'll annotate each and ship to RoadBook citations by EOD — receipt below.

4 sources · confidence band annotations

ROADVIEW · SCOPED TO 1849 SESSION

→ ROADBOOK

PORTIA AGENT 14:34 · WAITING ON YOU

Perfect. One small ask, Alexa — can you confirm the publish gate? I'll block public release until the bands are visible in the scenario chrome. Reply "approved" and I'll wire the gate.

Reply to Portia · stays in this thread RECEIPT WILL BE WRITTEN NO EXTERNAL SEND